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When Money Flees, Power Follows - Part III

When Money Flees, Power Follows - Part III

The Centrifugal Force of Guanxi-Based Capital Flight

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Adam Rousselle
Aug 13, 2025
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When Money Flees, Power Follows - Part III
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Economists have cautioned amid broader uncertainty, capital outflow pressure will remain on China for at least two years. Photo: EPA-EFE

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In the face of mounting domestic pressures, guanxi-based networks — originally designed to navigate opaque and low-trust environments — have transformed into sophisticated offshore escape routes. These relational webs, once vital for maintaining local stability and reciprocal social obligations, now enable massive capital flight through trade misinvoicing, underground banking channels, and the creation of offshore shell companies and trusts.

Rather than reinforcing collective resilience, guanxi networks function as informal evacuation corridors for the elite, allowing insiders to safeguard their wealth and hedge against systemic collapse. This quiet exodus leaves ordinary citizens and local institutions dangerously exposed, undermining social cohesion and fiscal capacity from within. Guanxi does not merely hollow the state; it actively engineers sovereignty leakage outward, ensuring that as liquidity flees, so too does the state’s capacity to govern effectively.

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